Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.617646 12.237178 13.975024 15.973174 18.201621 20.604900 23.387041
2025-08-10 8.114799 10.230518 12.665821 15.655850 19.206310 23.265163 28.232345
2025-08-17 6.562987 8.877078 11.689089 15.316744 19.827834 25.205894 32.050681
2025-08-24 5.467659 7.864631 10.916954 15.023095 20.328884 26.875036 35.473577
2025-08-31 4.556578 6.942758 10.115987 14.550700 20.481363 28.023328 38.206141
2025-09-07 4.018413 6.443265 9.792857 14.630681 21.292376 29.982212 41.986132
2025-09-14 3.554895 5.984686 9.463990 14.645838 21.976021 31.761998 45.561884
2025-09-21 3.207088 5.650440 9.267509 14.807705 22.837634 33.782067 49.500302
2025-09-28 2.865925 5.283008 8.980447 14.800451 23.435726 35.440047 52.981466
2025-10-05 2.663157 5.110979 8.965420 15.178843 24.586251 37.887253 57.611852
2025-10-12 2.456449 4.907179 8.878149 15.430257 25.546770 40.085057 61.949941
2025-10-19 2.239429 4.659843 8.696477 15.513591 26.245328 41.916196 65.810276
2025-10-26 1.949012 4.251678 8.221252 15.104414 26.178956 42.641344 68.127329
2025-11-02 1.713402 3.915041 7.834659 14.805789 26.256970 43.568161 70.753537
2025-11-09 1.502989 3.599083 7.453151 14.482069 26.265560 44.373378 73.205211
2025-11-16 1.324327 3.322362 7.114571 14.201724 26.318108 45.231519 75.744004
2025-11-23 1.144848 3.018909 6.697549 13.750822 26.057391 45.580507 77.503246
2025-11-30 1.049710 2.883861 6.584224 13.827155 26.672009 47.312002 81.421379
2025-12-07 0.957035 2.741737 6.443749 13.841621 27.175662 48.875417 85.113463
2025-12-14 0.887825 2.644482 6.382839 13.996118 27.921656 50.844925 89.487657
2025-12-21 0.809290 2.513944 6.242342 13.989195 28.379945 52.354451 93.166918
2025-12-28 0.770952 2.477706 6.293734 14.350411 29.501077 54.980796 98.690044
2026-01-04 0.724880 2.415494 6.284308 14.590454 30.410838 57.278494 103.736084